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An Alternative View of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

by Daniel Ades, MALD '03

In the wake of the September 11th attacks many of us have wondered: What is fundamentally wrong with U.S. and Israeli policy towards Palestine? Why is there so much discontent and anger in the region? Since a synopsis of "who is to blame historically" for the conflict would require a multi-volume book that would satisfy none of the parties, I will only attempt to analyze economic and social data from the past two decades and provide my set of suggestions to bring a lasting peace to the region. First and foremost, I only intend to demonstrate my specific viewpoint, rather than to offend particular individuals. I do not wish to be politically correct either, which often (and unfortunately) mutes important perspectives in the international community. My attempt is to simply put forward the evidence that has surfaced in the last ten years of a failed Palestinian State.

With a GDP per capita of around $1,060 (1999 estimate), the West Bank and Gaza Strip (WBGS) region has been experiencing a financial downturn during this last decade, a phenomenon rarely evidenced in modern societies. Until the early 1990s, which also marked the start of the current peace process, the WBGS was growing at an average of 4.2 percent annually (from 1980 to 1990). At the same time, its population growth rate at about 4.6 percent was amongst the highest in the world. This generated an almost stagnant GDP per capita growth. However, special growth regions inside the occupied territories kept unemployment in the region at an average below 5 percent.

The prospects seemed to be encouraging: the number of secular primary and secondary schools built in the region started to increase, allowing Palestinians to compete for places in local and foreign universities. This in turn created a small professional class, which generated a wealth creating process in the area. Many Israeli industries were present in the region, providing many jobs. I want to be clear that I am not arguing that Israel provided equal benefits to the occupied territories compared with the rest of the country.  Nonetheless, relative progress was being achieved at this time.

Unfortunately, the situation changed dramatically in the 1990s with the advent of the peace process. Between 1992 and 1996, real per capita GDP declined by 36.1 percent.  More worrisome, dangerous unemployment rates of over 20 persisted throughout the 1990s to this date.

What has gone wrong and why did the peace process fail to bring prosperity, security, and development? Many would argue that it is the result of hardships imposed by Israel due to its security concerns. Although Israeli policies might partially explain the problem and is a sufficiently satisfying explanation to the international media, it certainly does not explain the entire picture. The full story is a much harsher (and not as "sellable") reality. The financial hardships experienced by Palestinians today are not only the results of Israeli policy.  Rather, the failed government of the Palestinian Authority (PA) was responsible for this economic decline as well.  

In the early 1990s Israel permitted relative autonomy to the occupied territories and granted the PA power over schools, civil police, and many other administrative issues. While Israel collected the taxes, these funds where turned to the PA, which had full discretion over where to allocate funds. As a result, in less than a decade of PA governance, there are now few public secular schools left. Many were closed, some were turned into traditional Muslim education centers, and some became the bases for Islamic fundamentalism and political activism.

This resulted in a significant reduction of Palestinians able to compete for vacancies at foreign universities, consequently destroying the main human capital creation processes existent outside the Palestinian Diaspora. Moreover, without prospects for being educated or obtaining a job, where else will youths find stability but in the revolutionary causes of fundamentalism?  Moreover, where did the funds earmarked for the schools and given to the PA go? Simple: the money fed corruption. Most of the diverted funds allocated to schools and hospitals went into illegal arms trade, which ironically brought in weapons and armaments for use against Israel in today's combats. 

But why isn't corruption in the territories portrayed in political discussions worldwide? Part of the answer can be explained by the lack of freedom of speech. To illustrate, most remember the Italian cameramen from RAI that filmed the beating up and killing of an Israeli soldier last year. Afraid of retaliation from having published the footage, the journalist is currently still hiding from various threats. How can we expect an in-depth investigation with such repression of expression?

In order to become a transparent and viable state, the Palestinians must build a civil society in which its people are the basis for governance. For instance, in over 8 years there hasn't been one election for any political posts. Instead of dealing with its population growth rates, instead of creating jobs, instead of maintaining a sense of political stability that would encourage foreign investment, instead of building schools, instead of cracking down on Islamic fundamentalism, the PA spends its time and resources attracting international attention to their cause by encouraging innocent youths to actively confront the Israeli army.  In such an environment, there is no basis for a stable government to emerge. 

In order for serious discussions about a Palestinian state to begin, an institutional basis for economic growth, a sound political establishment, the closure of fundamentalist schools, and the eradication of illegal arms trade must first be achieved. Without these foundations, we run the serious risk of creating an institutionalized terrorist, if not a criminal, state.  Imagine another Taliban that, instead of hating American interests, hates the Jewish establishment.  No country could tolerate a neighbor that harbors known terrorists and allows for the murder of cabinet ministers.  Golda Meir, Israeli prime minister in the 1960s, once observed that there would only be peace in Israel when Islamic fundamentalists love their children more than they hate the Jews.

I am not suggesting the reoccupation of Palestine. Instead, a viable option is to give aid and tax revenues conditional on: a) the creation of accountability standards overseen by a multinational consultancy; b) the creation of an educational system based on secular topics such as biology and math even if mixed with traditional practices of Islam; c) the creation of a democratic political system; and d) the promotion of freedom of speech. We can start talking about an independent Palestinian State only when the PA proves itself capable of running an effective and transparent state, when we are sure that resources intended for the development of its people are not diverted into illegal arms trade, and only when peace, not war, is the driving spirit of a society.

Daniel Ades was member of a Jewish Youth movement in Brazil for ten years. He was editor of their weekly newspaper and representative to the South American Jewish Youth Council for the State of Sao Paulo. His current interests at Fletcher include corruption and development, as well as micro-credit.

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